NARA Discovery
Article Details
← Back to Search Results
Journal Article

Beyond the richter scale: a fuzzy inference system approach for measuring objective earthquake risk

Shahin Mohammadi; Fatemeh Balouei; Saeid Amini; Hamidreza Rabiei-Dastjerdi
Natural Hazards · Vol. 121, Issue 1 · pp. 245-268 · 2025

Abstract

Earthquakes pose significant natural hazards and impact populations worldwide. Iran is among the most susceptible countries to seismic activity, making comprehensive earthquake risk assessment crucial. This study employs geospatial methods, including integrating satellite, ground-based, and auxiliary data to model earthquake risk across this country. A Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) is used to generate earthquake hazard probability and vulnerability layers, considering factors such as slope, elevation, fault density, building density, proximity to main roads, proximity to buildings, population density, and earthquake epicenter, magnitude, proximity to the epicenter, depth density, peak ground acceleration (PGA). The results highlight high-risk areas in the Alborz and Zagros Mountain ranges and coastal regions. Moreover, the findings indicate that 39.7% (approximately 31.7 million people) of Iran’s population resides in high-risk zones, with 9.6% (approximately 7.7 million) located in coastal areas vulnerable to earthquakes. These findings offer valuable insights for crisis management and urban planning initiatives.

Bibliographic Information

JournalNatural Hazards
PublisherSpringer
Publication Date2025-01-01
Publication Year2025
Volume121
Issue1
Pages245-268
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN0921-030X
eISSN1573-0840
DOI10.1007/s11069-024-06786-9

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1988-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://www.springer.com/journal/11069
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
Full-text access depends on NARA's subscribed coverage and institutional access.