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Journal Article

A long short-term memory model for sub-hourly temporal disaggregation of precipitation

Harrison Oates; Nayan Arora; Hong Gic Oh; Trevor Lee
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment · Vol. 39, Issue 7 · pp. 2859-2872 · 2025

Abstract

High-resolution precipitation data is crucial for modern hydrological and building hygrothermal performance simulation models. In Australia, historical observations are inadequate, as half-hourly recordings only replaced daily observations at many stations from the early 2000s. Moreover, existing machine learning approaches are limited to generating hourly time series data. This paper presents a recurrent neural network using long short-term memory to disaggregate daily precipitation observations into half-hourly intervals. The model leverages temporal dependencies and hourly weather measurements. Our results, based on stations across five Australian climate zones, demonstrate that the model effectively preserves key half-hourly precipitation statistics, including variance and the quantity and distribution of wet half-hours. When aggregated to hourly intervals, our model outperforms other models in most measured metrics.

Bibliographic Information

JournalStochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment
PublisherSpringer
Publication Date2025-07-01
Publication Year2025
Volume39
Issue7
Pages2859-2872
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1436-3240
eISSN1436-3259
DOI10.1007/s00477-025-02996-0

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1987-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://www.springer.com/journal/477
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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