Abstract
Port congestion significantly impacts the reliability of container ship schedules. However, the existing research often treats vessel time in port as a random variable, failing to systematically consider the complex impact of port congestion on ship schedules. This study addresses the issue of container ship schedule design under port congestion. Vessel waiting times in ports are predicted and quantified by queueing theory, along with information on vessel schedules, cargo handling volumes, and available port operating time windows. We propose a mechanism for selecting container handling efficiencies for arriving vessels, thereby determining their in-port handling times. By jointly considering the uncertainty of vessel waiting and handling times in port, we establish a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model aimed at minimizing the total cost of liner transportation services. We linearize the model and solve it using CPLEX, ultimately devising a robust ship schedule. A simulation analysis is conducted on a real liner shipping route from Asia to the Mediterranean, revealing that extreme weather events, geopolitical conflicts, and other factors can lead to severe congestion at certain ports, necessitating timely adjustments to vessel schedules by shipping companies. Moreover, such events can impact the marine fuel market, prompting shipping companies to adopt strategies such as increasing vessel numbers and reducing vessel speeds in response to high fuel prices. Additionally, the container handling efficiency selection mechanism based on information sharing enables shipping companies to flexibly design liner schedules, balancing the economic costs and service reliability of container liner transportation.