A Shoreline Screening Framework for Identifying Nature-Based Stabilization Measures Reducing Storm Damage in the Florida Keys

Abstract

With elevations mostly less than 2 m, the Florida Keys, an island chain stretching nearly two hundred kilometers from Biscayne Bay to Key West, Florida, is among the most vulnerable coastal regions globally. As the threats from tropical cyclones, storm surges, and sea level rise intensify, urbanized areas increasingly rely on shoreline armoring, disregarding the negative effects on coastal habitats. Living shorelines, which integrate coastal vegetation to stabilize erodible shoreline segments or enhance existing grey infrastructure, have successfully addressed some of these challenges. We present a decision framework for evaluating the suitability of different stabilization methods for existing shoreline conditions. The framework incorporates a Shoreline Relative Exposure Index (SREI) based on shoreline orientation, wind and wave exposure, shoreline slope, bathymetry, nearshore habitat, and storm surge. To refine this framework, we conducted an expert opinion survey to determine parameter weights. The results will inform decisions on using vegetated shorelines alone or with structural elements to reduce wave action, control erosion, and protect Florida Keys communities from storm damage. Implementing innovative shoreline stabilization methods is crucial as climate change and population growth are expected to exacerbate flood management challenges.

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