Creep Behavior and Quantitative Prediction of Marine Soft Clay Based on a Nonlinear Elasto-Plastic–Viscous Element Assembly Model

Abstract

Marine soft clay is characterized by a high water content and low strength, exhibiting pronounced creep deformation under long-term loading that threatens the serviceability and durability of coastal infrastructure. Accordingly, this study develops a creep constitutive model that combines elastic, plastic, and viscous effects and quantitatively evaluates time-dependent deformation under varying water contents and stress levels to provide reliable prediction tools for tunnel, excavation, and pile-foundation design. Cyclic creep tests were carried out on reconstituted marine soft clay with water contents of 40–60% and stress ratios of 0.4–1.2 using a pneumatic, fully digital, closed-loop triaxial apparatus. A “nonlinear spring–Bingham slider–dual viscous dashpot in parallel with a standard Kelvin dashpot” element assembly was proposed, and the complete stress–strain relationship was derived. Experimental data were fitted with Python to generate a creep-strain polynomial and verify the model accuracy. The predicted–measured creep difference remained within 10%, and the surface-fit coefficient of determination reached R2 = 0.97, enabling rapid estimation of deformation for the given stress and time conditions. The findings offer an effective method for the precise long-term settlement prediction of marine soft clay and significantly enhance the reliability of the deformation assessments in coastal civil-engineering projects.

Bibliographic Information