NARA Discovery
Article Details
← Back to Search Results
Journal Article

Deep Learning-Based Non-Parametric System Identification and Interpretability Analysis for Improving Ship Motion Prediction

Shaojie Guo; Siqing Zhuang; Junyi Wang; Xi Peng; Yihua Liu
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering · Vol. 13, Issue 10 · pp. 2017 · 2025

Abstract

The proposed hybrid model integrates a convolutional neural network, bidirectional long short-term memory network, and attention mechanism. This model is applied to the nonparametric system identification of ship motion, incorporating wind factors. The model processes input data with different historical dimensions after preprocessing, extracts local features using a CNN layer, captures bidirectional temporal dependencies via a BiLSTM layer to provide comprehensive bidirectional information, and finally introduces a multi-head attention mechanism to enhance the model’s expressive and learning capabilities. However, the use of deep neural networks introduces difficulties in explaining internal mechanisms. The coupled CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model with SHapley Additive exPlanations was adopted for the prediction of ship motion processes and the identification of key input feature factors. The effectiveness of the proposed model was validated through experiments using a ship free-running motion dataset with wind interference. The findings indicate that, in comparison to conventional single-architecture models and composite architecture models, the proposed model attains smaller prediction errors and demonstrates augmented generalizability and robustness.

Bibliographic Information

JournalJournal of Marine Science and Engineering
PublisherMDPI
Publication Date2025-10-21
Publication Year2025
Volume13
Issue10
Pages2017
Document TypeJournal Article
eISSN2077-1312
DOI10.3390/jmse13102017
SubjectMarine science; oceanography; marine engineering; coastal science; marine environment

Access Information

NARA Access CoverageOA / free full text
Journal Homepagehttps://www.mdpi.com/journal/jmse
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
This article is openly available from the publisher.