NARA Discovery
Article Details
← Back to Search Results
Journal Article

A Physics-Informed Non-Markovian Deep Learning Model for Robust Ship Motion Prediction Under Non-Ideal Observations

Xinyu Guo; Runze Mao; Peihua Han; Zhicheng Li; Houxiang Zhang
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering · Vol. 14, Issue 12 · pp. 1065 · 2026

Abstract

High-fidelity ship dynamics models are essential for the reliable operation of maritime autonomous systems. However, existing Markov-based maneuvering models and purely data-driven predictors struggle to capture hydrodynamic memory and degrade under non-ideal sensing. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel approach for robust ship motion prediction, the Non-Markovian Memory-Augmented Environment-Perceived and Physics-Informed Network (NMA-EPIN). This method explicitly models long-term hydrodynamic dependencies through a memory-augmented architecture. Within NMA-EPIN, a Control-Physics-Informed Neural Network (CPINN) paradigm enforces velocity–position kinematic consistency and control-logic alignment as soft constraints, suppressing cumulative drift under degraded observations. Experiments on a high-fidelity simulated dataset show that NMA-EPIN attains an average coefficient of determination R2=0.977 under nominal conditions, effectively eliminating the position drift observed in baselines. Under extreme compound perturbations (50% sensor noise, packet loss, and delays), NMA-EPIN retains R2≈0.91, which significantly outperforms the baselines.

Bibliographic Information

JournalJournal of Marine Science and Engineering
PublisherMDPI
Publication Date2026-06-06
Publication Year2026
Volume14
Issue12
Pages1065
Document TypeJournal Article
eISSN2077-1312
DOI10.3390/jmse14121065
SubjectMarine science; oceanography; marine engineering; coastal science; marine environment

Access Information

NARA Access CoverageOA / free full text
Journal Homepagehttps://www.mdpi.com/journal/jmse
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
This article is openly available from the publisher.