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Interpreting field measurements of juvenile growth and survival rates with population growth isoclines

Nathan T. Barrus; Mark I. Cook; Nathan J. Dorn
Ecology · Vol. 106, Issue 10 · 2025

Abstract

Juvenile survival and growth rates are commonly studied demographic rates with consequences for population growth. For species that can achieve a size refuge from juvenile predators, the time spent at smaller vulnerable sizes is expected to affect population dynamics. But the interactive effects of juvenile growth and survival on population growth are rarely illustrated theoretically, and most studies of these concepts have been in experimental settings. The interactive effects of the two rates have applications to field studies of recruitment variation for a diversity of species that could be assessed with demographic models and isoclines. We conceptually illustrate the potential use of demographic isoclines for marine, terrestrial, and freshwater examples in the literature, and then demonstrate the use of a demographic isocline for an annual freshwater gastropod (Florida Apple Snail, Pomacea paludosa ). Using a published size‐indexed demographic model, we constructed a zero‐population growth isocline for theoretical combinations of juvenile growth and survival rates. We then quantified daily juvenile survival and growth in two wetlands twice during the recruitment period, incorporating variable predator assemblages and seasonal environmental conditions (i.e., water depth and temperature). Daily juvenile survival rates were lower in the cooler dry season and juvenile growth was faster in the warmer wet (rainy) season. Parameter combinations of juvenile growth and survival in the dry season predicted declining populations (λ

Bibliographic Information

JournalEcology
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2025-10-01
Publication Year2025
Volume106
Issue10
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN0012-9658
eISSN1939-9170
DOI10.1002/ecy.70220
SubjectEcology & Organismal Biology

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1997-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/19399170
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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