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Data cloning: easy maximum likelihood estimation for complex ecological models using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo methods

Subhash R. Lele; Brian Dennis; Frithjof Lutscher
Ecology Letters · Vol. 10, Issue 7 · pp. 551-563 · 2007

Abstract

We introduce a new statistical computing method, called data cloning, to calculate maximum likelihood estimates and their standard errors for complex ecological models. Although the method uses the Bayesian framework and exploits the computational simplicity of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, it provides valid frequentist inferences such as the maximum likelihood estimates and their standard errors. The inferences are completely invariant to the choice of the prior distributions and therefore avoid the inherent subjectivity of the Bayesian approach. The data cloning method is easily implemented using standard MCMC software. Data cloning is particularly useful for analysing ecological situations in which hierarchical statistical models, such as state‐space models and mixed effects models, are appropriate. We illustrate the method by fitting two nonlinear population dynamics models to data in the presence of process and observation noise.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEcology Letters
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2007-07-01
Publication Year2007
Volume10
Issue7
Pages551-563
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1461-023X
eISSN1461-0248
DOI10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01047.x
SubjectEcology & Organismal Biology

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1998-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/14610248
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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