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Journal Article

How is Gaia doing? Trends in global land degradation and improvement

Zhanguo Bai; Jason Daniel Russ; Kentaro Florian Mayr; David Dent
Ambio · Vol. 54, Issue 11 · pp. 1902-1938 · 2025

Abstract

Land degradation is holding back attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals and exacerbating global heating. Land degradation and improvement since 1981 have been assessed by proxy using remotely sensed Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), translated into net primary productivity. The quantitative data show the extent and trends of changes over four decades and identify where further action is needed. During 1981–2021, 28.5% of land was degrading—most notably through megafires in boreal forests, land clearance and cultivation in sub-Saharan Africa and the East Indies and across the steppes. The degraded area increased by 4.5% compared to 1981–2003 yet affected fewer people—1.2 billion compared to 1.5 billion. Consistent policies on sustainability increased biological productivity on 26% of land (10.5% more than 1981–2003), particularly cropland in China, India and the European Union; 2.9 billion people now live in the improved areas compared with 0.8 billion in the improving areas of 1981–2003.

Bibliographic Information

JournalAmbio
PublisherSpringer
Publication Date2025-11-01
Publication Year2025
Volume54
Issue11
Pages1902-1938
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN0044-7447
eISSN1654-7209
DOI10.1007/s13280-025-02179-9

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage2010-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://www.springer.com/journal/13280
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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