The Missing Branches of the Bee Tree of Life: Addressing Global Darwinian Shortfalls and Their Drivers

Abstract

Aim Estimate the Darwinian shortfall (i.e., the lack of knowledge about phylogenetic relationships) of bees worldwide, as well as identify their drivers. Location Global. Taxon Bees (Hymenoptera, Anthophila). Methods We built phylogenies for over 12,000 bee species, combining the most comprehensive phylogeny and an algorithm with random solutions to insert missing lineages. The Darwinian shortfall was quantified as the Phylogenetic Diversity (PD) deficit, the ratio of inserted branch lengths at the assemblage level. We identified potential ecological and socioeconomic drivers of the Darwinian shortfall using Simultaneous Autoregressive (SAR) models. Results The highest shortfalls were identified in the Southern Hemisphere. Mean species range size and species richness were the strongest drivers, as smaller ranges and higher richness were associated with higher deficits. Per capita GDP was negatively associated with PD deficits, while population and road densities showed positive but weak effects. Sample completeness had a weaker effect, limited by missing occurrence data in many regions. Main Conclusions Our findings underscore the need for integrative efforts combining taxonomy, data digitization, adequate research investments, and targeted sampling, especially in the Global South. Overcoming the Darwinian shortfall is essential to develop robust strategies to preserve the Tree of Life, especially for one of the most important groups of pollinators while facing the ongoing biodiversity crisis.

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