Abstract
To determine the factors influencing juvenile recruitment of the kelp Eisenia bicyclis, a seven-year monitoring survey was conducted in an area affected by seismic subsidence caused by the 2011 earthquake and subsequent breakwater restoration. Juvenile recruitment was high in September 2011 and in May to June of 2013–2015, but low in 2012, 2016 and 2017. Analysis of the relationship between environmental factors and juvenile recruitment revealed that recruitment was associated with light intensity, with lower water temperature two months prior, and an increase in nutrients four months prior. The seasonal increase in nutrient concentrations during winter may have been influenced by the seasonal northwestward coastal current. In contrast, despite elevated nutrient concentrations, recruitment was relatively poor in 2016–2017. This might be attributed to the unstable seabed environment associated with the breakwater construction. Our monthly monitoring of both the number of E. bicyclis juvenile recruitments and environmental factors at the same site demonstrated that a time-lagged increase in nutrient concentrations and a decrease in water temperature are associated with Eisenia bicyclis juvenile recruitment. This study provides fundamental information on kelp recruitment that will contribute to predicting the recovery of kelp communities following disturbances and recruitment dynamics under environmental change.