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Calibrated Ecosystem Models Cannot Predict the Consequences of Conservation Management Decisions—Clarification

Larissa Lubiana Botelho; Cailan Jeynes‐Smith; Sarah A. Vollert; Michael Bode
Ecology Letters · Vol. 28, Issue 10 · 2025

Abstract

Woodstock and Harris raise concerns about generalisations in our paper ‘Calibrated Ecosystem Models Cannot Predict the Consequences of Conservation Management Decisions’. They implied that our conclusions are invalidated by the exclusion of density dependent compensatory feedback and the existence of automated calibration approaches with overfitting penalties—claims that overlook the broader structural issues we identified. Here, we explore their key criticism in more detail, clarify our position and explain why we continue to stand by our findings.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEcology Letters
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2025-10-01
Publication Year2025
Volume28
Issue10
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1461-023X
eISSN1461-0248
DOI10.1111/ele.70175
SubjectEcology & Organismal Biology

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1998-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/14610248
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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