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Birds That Don't Exist: Niche Pre‐Emption as a Constraint on Morphological Evolution in the Passeroidea

Stephanie Y. Chia; Anshuman Swain; Nathaniel Josephs; Lizhen Lin; William F. Fagan
Ecology Letters · Vol. 29, Issue 2 · 2026

Abstract

Understanding why some viable body forms never evolve can reveal how ecological and evolutionary forces shape biodiversity. We investigate this question in the Passeroidea, a large group of songbirds, by analysing their morphological trait space using topological data analysis and ancestral state reconstruction. We identify a persistent morphological gap densely surrounded by extant species but unoccupied throughout passeroid diversification. The gap patterns deviate from stochastic expectations and show no evidence of past occupation, rendering undirected trait evolution and extinction unlikely. Similar morphologies exist in other bird lineages, ruling out intrinsic constraints or niche absence. Geographic distributions and traits of passeroids versus non‐passeroid gap occupants point to competitive exclusion as the plausible explanation: early‐colonising territorial specialists outside the Passeroidea may have preemptively occupied key habitats, limiting evolutionary opportunities for later‐arriving lineages. We demonstrate how historical contingency can shape macroevolutionary outcomes and introduce a generalizable framework for investigating structural gaps in trait evolution.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEcology Letters
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2026-02-01
Publication Year2026
Volume29
Issue2
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1461-023X
eISSN1461-0248
DOI10.1111/ele.70320
SubjectEcology & Organismal Biology

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1998-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/14610248
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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