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Journal Article

Drivers and Consequences of Size Declines in Unicells

Dustin J. Marshall; Hayley E. Cameron; Akira Abe; Suzana Goncalves Leles; Craig R. White; John Delong
Ecology Letters · Vol. 29, Issue 5 · 2026

Abstract

The communities of unicellular microbes (bacteria, protists and yeasts) that underpin ecosystems are changing. In warmer conditions, protists tend to shrink, but the consequences of these changes in size are unclear. We show preliminary evidence that warming‐mediated declines in cell size observed in protists also apply to bacteria and yeasts. Predicting the consequences of these warming‐mediated size declines requires that the relationships between cell size and key functional traits are well‐characterised. We show that the critical relationship between unicellular size and energy use—that is, metabolic scaling—has been systematically mis‐estimated in the past. Projections of the effects of warming on unicellular respiration change from superlinear to sublinear once the metabolic scaling relationship is updated, with worrying consequences for the biological carbon pump and other ecosystem services. Other size‐function scaling relationships (e.g., photosynthesis) are likely to have been similarly mis‐estimated. Next, we show that theory on the relationships between size, temperature and demography is more ambivalent than previously recognised, leaving uncertainty as to how warming will alter the dynamics of unicellular populations. Finally, we identify pathways for improving our capacity to predict future changes in unicellular size, and decrease the uncertainty surrounding the consequences of these changes.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEcology Letters
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2026-05-01
Publication Year2026
Volume29
Issue5
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1461-023X
eISSN1461-0248
DOI10.1111/ele.70387
SubjectEcology & Organismal Biology

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1998-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/14610248
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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