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Are Insect Populations Inherently More Variable? A Multi‐Taxa Approach to Characterising Interannual Fluctuations in Insect Time Series

Graham A. Montgomery; Eliza M. Grames; Jake M. Jacobsen; Ethan X. Kahn; Amanda Leyel; Mia C. Rosati; Qiyuan Wu; Chris S. Elphick; David Wagner; Morgan W. Tingley
Ecology Letters · Vol. 29, Issue 3 · 2026

Abstract

The determinants of population variability across taxa, time, and space are not fully understood, particularly for insects, a group with recent reports of widespread abundance declines. We collated data from unpublished and published sources to calculate indices of interannual population variability for over 4500 unique insect time series, comprising data from nearly 1500 species. We evaluate whether insects exhibit greater population variability than other types of animals. Our results demonstrate that insects as a group indeed exhibit much greater population variability than birds, mammals, or fish, but that within Insecta, included orders show similar levels of population variability. We also find that population variability in insects is greater at higher latitudes, for species with smaller body sizes and for shorter, older time series and that it varies between biomes. Overall, our findings can inform the interpretation and prediction of insect population trends, fluctuations and extinction risk in an era of insect decline.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEcology Letters
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2026-03-01
Publication Year2026
Volume29
Issue3
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1461-023X
eISSN1461-0248
DOI10.1111/ele.70359
SubjectEcology & Organismal Biology

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1998-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/14610248
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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