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Simulating the recent impacts of multiple biotic disturbances on forest carbon cycling across the United States

Markus Kautz; Peter Anthoni; Arjan J. H. Meddens; Thomas A. M. Pugh; Almut Arneth
Global Change Biology · Vol. 24, Issue 5 · pp. 2079-2092 · 2018

Abstract

Biotic disturbances ( BD s, for example, insects, pathogens, and wildlife herbivory) substantially affect boreal and temperate forest ecosystems globally. However, accurate impact assessments comprising larger spatial scales are lacking to date although these are critically needed given the expected disturbance intensification under a warming climate. Hence, our quantitative knowledge on current and future BD impacts, for example, on forest carbon (C) cycling, is strongly limited. We extended a dynamic global vegetation model to simulate ecosystem response to prescribed tree mortality and defoliation due to multiple biotic agents across United States forests during the period 1997–2015, and quantified the BD ‐induced vegetation C loss, that is, C fluxes from live vegetation to dead organic matter pools. Annual disturbance fractions separated by BD type (tree mortality and defoliation) and agent (bark beetles, defoliator insects, other insects, pathogens, and other biotic agents) were calculated at 0.5° resolution from aerial‐surveyed data and applied within the model. Simulated BD ‐induced C fluxes totaled 251.6 Mt C (annual mean: 13.2 Mt C year −1 , SD ±7.3 Mt C year −1 between years) across the study domain, to which tree mortality contributed 95% and defoliation 5%. Among BD agents, bark beetles caused most C fluxes (61%), and total insect‐induced C fluxes were about five times larger compared to non‐insect agents, for example, pathogens and wildlife. Our findings further demonstrate that BD ‐induced C cycle impacts (i) displayed high spatio‐temporal variability, (ii) were dominated by different agents across BD types and regions, and (iii) were comparable in magnitude to fire‐induced impacts. This study provides the first ecosystem model‐based assessment of BD ‐induced impacts on forest C cycling at the continental scale and going beyond single agent‐host systems, thus allowing for comparisons across regions, BD types, and agents. Ultimately, a perspective on the potential and limitations of a more process‐based incorporation of multiple BD s in ecosystem models is offered.

Bibliographic Information

JournalGlobal Change Biology
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2018-05-01
Publication Year2018
Volume24
Issue5
Pages2079-2092
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1354-1013
eISSN1365-2486
DOI10.1111/gcb.13974
SubjectConservation Science

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1997-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/13652486
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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