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Evaluation of the added value of a high‐resolution regional climate model simulation of the South Asian summer monsoon climatology

J. Karmacharya; R. Jones; W. Moufouma‐Okia; M. New
International Journal of Climatology · Vol. 37, Issue 9 · pp. 3630-3643 · 2017

Abstract

The South Asian summer monsoon ( SASM ) is a continental scale weather phenomenon, which fluctuates at a range of temporal and spatial scales. Although majority of global climate models are broadly able to simulate the large scale characteristics of the SASM , they generally have major deficiencies such as constraints in reproducing observed mean precipitation. It is generally anticipated that higher resolution regional climate models ( RCMs ) would be able to simulate an improved mean state owing to their capacity to better simulate fine temporal and spatial scale features and variability. Here, we analyse SASM simulations using a contemporary Hadley Centre RCM , forced by ERA ‐Interim reanalysis and observed sea surface temperature, at medium (0.44°) and high (0.11°) horizontal resolutions. Evaluation of the results show that, compared to the medium resolution RCM , the high resolution RCM is able to better resolve the interaction of the low level monsoon flow with the Himalayan orography leading to added value in simulating many aspects of SASM precipitation such as the seasonal mean, relative frequency distribution of daily precipitation, and various metrics of precipitation extremes. In contrast to many previous studies, maximum added value is note along the Indo‐Gangetic plain rather than over the complex Himalayas, and the added values of up to 5 mm day −1 and 50 days are noted for mean precipitation and number of wet days, respectively over the region. Similarly, added values of up to 15 and 3 mm day −1 are noted for 95th percentile of daily precipitation and simple daily intensity index, respectively over central India and the Himalayan range. These results suggest that higher resolution RCMs have the potential to add more value when downscaling global climate model climate change projections.

Bibliographic Information

JournalInternational Journal of Climatology
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2017-07-01
Publication Year2017
Volume37
Issue9
Pages3630-3643
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN0899-8418
eISSN1097-0088
DOI10.1002/joc.4944
SubjectAtmospheric Sciences

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NARA Access Coverage1996-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/10970088
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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