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Journal Article

Concurrent Inter‐Model Spread of Boreal Winter Westerly Jet Meridional Positions Between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres in CMIP6 Models

Li Tang; Riyu Lu; Zhongda Lin; Jian Lu; Ziming Chen
International Journal of Climatology · Vol. 44, Issue 15 · pp. 5474-5486 · 2024

Abstract

This study investigates the inter‐model spread of climatological extratropical westerly jets in boreal winter, using the historical simulation of 52 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models from 1851 to 2014. The results show that there is a substantial spread in the latitude of the upper‐tropospheric westerly jet across models, characterised by large inter‐model standard deviations to both the poleward and equatorward sides of the jet axis, although the multi‐model ensemble mean (MME) performs well in simulating meridional position of westerly jets. Furthermore, we detect the consistency of inter‐model jet position spread between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, based on the inter‐model empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition and correlation of regional‐averaged zonal winds. Specifically, the models that simulate the westerly jets poleward/equatorward relative to the MME position in one hemisphere also tend to simulate the jets poleward/equatorward in the other hemisphere. Accordingly, we define a global jet spread index to depict the concurrence of jet shift in the two hemispheres. The results of inter‐model regression analyses based on this index indicate that the models positioning the jets poleward than the MME tend to simulate a wider Hadley Cell, a poleward‐shifted Ferrel Cell in the Southern Hemisphere, enhanced precipitation in the subtropics and suppressed precipitation in the tropics, and warmer sea surface temperatures in the subtropics and mid‐latitudes. The present results suggest that improving the simulation of jet positions in climate models requires a comprehensive consideration of thermal states in the tropics and subtropics/mid latitudes.

Bibliographic Information

JournalInternational Journal of Climatology
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2024-12-15
Publication Year2024
Volume44
Issue15
Pages5474-5486
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN0899-8418
eISSN1097-0088
DOI10.1002/joc.8647
SubjectAtmospheric Sciences

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NARA Access Coverage1996-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/10970088
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