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Journal Article

Climate Change Hotspots for Türkiye

Nazan An; M. Tufan Turp; Elif Bayindir; Yagmur Akverdi; Zeynep Nur Mirza; M. Levent Kurnaz
International Journal of Climatology · Vol. 45, Issue 7 · 2025

Abstract

Depending on various indicators, climate change may affect each region globally at varying risk levels. Therefore, identifying the ‘hotspots’ most likely to be affected by climate change in the future is a crucial step in ensuring those areas rapidly adapt to it. The study estimated the Standard Euclidean Distance (SED) for identifying hotspots of Türkiye using high‐resolution climate projection data (10 × 10 km) and examined regional vulnerability in the long‐term future over a 75‐year period (2024–2099). The projections were made using RegCM4.4 driven by MPI‐ESM‐MR under the optimistic (RCP4.5) and pessimistic (RCP8.5) scenarios. The findings indicate that the hotspot regions in Türkiye are Southeastern Anatolia, Eastern Anatolia and the Mediterranean for RCP4.5, and Southeastern Anatolia, Eastern Anatolia, the Mediterranean and Central Anatolia for RCP8.5. The most critical indicators, however, are temperature‐related indicators (i.e., Mean Air Temperature, Hot Seasons and Temperature Variability). Based on the findings, it is necessary to take preventive measures, particularly in highly vulnerable regions, to minimise potential damage. Additionally, multi‐model ensemble studies should be applied to reduce the uncertainties and model‐related variability, as well as to provide robust evidence of climate change.

Bibliographic Information

JournalInternational Journal of Climatology
PublisherWiley
Publication Date2025-06-15
Publication Year2025
Volume45
Issue7
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN0899-8418
eISSN1097-0088
DOI10.1002/joc.8825
SubjectAtmospheric Sciences

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1996-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/10970088
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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