Abstract
Determination of relevant model parameters is crucial for accurate mathematical modelling and efficient numerical simulation of a wide spectrum of applications in geosciences. The conventional method of choice is the global sensitivity analysis (GSA). Unfortunately, at least the classical Monte-Carlo based GSA requires a high number of model runs. Response surfaces based techniques, e.g. arbitrary Polynomial Chaos (aPC) expansion, can reduce computational effort, however, they suffer from the Gibbs phenomena and high hardware requirements for higher accuracy. We introduce GSA for arbitrary Multi-Resolution Polynomial Chaos (aMR-PC) which is a localized aPC based data-driven polynomial discretization. The aMR-PC allows to reduce the Gibbs phenomena by construction and to achieve higher accuracy by means of localization also for lower polynomial degrees. We apply these techniques to perform the sensitivity analysis for the Stokes–Darcy problem which describes fluid flow in coupled free-flow and porous-medium systems. We consider the Stokes equations in the free-flow region, Darcy’s law in the porous-medium domain and the classical interface conditions across the fluid–porous interface including the conservation of mass, the balance of normal forces and the Beavers–Joseph condition for the tangential velocity. This coupled problem formulation contains four uncertain parameters: the exact location of the interface, the permeability, the Beavers–Joseph slip coefficient and the uncertainty in the boundary conditions. We carry out the sensitivity analysis of the coupled model with respect to these parameters using the Sobol indices on the aMR-PC expansion and conduct the corresponding numerical simulations.