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Journal Article

From scientific models to decisions: exploring uncertainty communication gaps between scientists and decision-makers

Annal Dhungana; Emma E. H. Doyle; Raj Prasanna; Garry McDonald
Environment Systems and Decisions · Vol. 45, Issue 3 · 2025

Abstract

Effective communication of uncertainty relies on transparent exchanges between scientists and decision-makers. However, significant gaps often exist between how scientists and decision-makers perceive, understand, and communicate uncertainty. This study examines the dynamics of uncertainty communication between scientists and decision-makers, employing a reflective thematic analysis of 32 interview datasets, comprising 17 scientists and 15 decision-makers. Our results show that Scientists typically approach uncertainty through methodological rigour, employing technical vocabulary and probabilistic language, which aligns with their scientific training but often complicates comprehension for decision-makers. Conversely, decision-makers prioritise actionable insights and practical implications, requiring uncertainty to be communicated in a way that supports decision-making processes across diverse contexts. The study further highlights the need for tailored communication strategies that bridge the complexities of uncertainty with the practical needs of decision-makers, emphasising collaboration and user-focused uncertainty visualisations as pathways to enhance uncertainty communication between scientists and decision-makers for the uptake of uncertainty information into decision-making.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEnvironment Systems and Decisions
PublisherSpringer
Publication Date2025-09-01
Publication Year2025
Volume45
Issue3
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN2194-5403
eISSN2194-5411
DOI10.1007/s10669-025-10039-w

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1981-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://www.springer.com/journal/10669
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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