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A non-stationary spatial model of PM$$_{2.5}$$ with localized transfer learning from numerical model output

Wenlong Gong; Brian J. Reich; Joseph Guinness
Environmental and Ecological Statistics · Vol. 33, Issue 1 · pp. 221-239 · 2026

Abstract

Ambient air pollution measurements from regulatory monitoring networks are routinely used to support epidemiologic studies and environmental policy decision-making. However, regulatory monitors are spatially sparse and preferentially located in areas with large populations. Numerical air pollution model output can be leveraged into the inference and prediction of air pollution data combining with measurements from monitors. Nonstationary covariance functions allow the model to adapt to spatial surfaces whose variability changes with location like air pollution data. In the paper, we employ localized covariance parameters learned from the numerical output model to knit together into a global nonstationary covariance, to incorporate in a fully Bayesian model. We model the nonstationary structure in a computationally efficient way to make the Bayesian model scalable.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEnvironmental and Ecological Statistics
PublisherSpringer
Publication Date2026-03-01
Publication Year2026
Volume33
Issue1
Pages221-239
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1352-8505
eISSN1573-3009
DOI10.1007/s10651-026-00710-z

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1994-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://www.springer.com/journal/10651
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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