Journal Article
A critical evaluation of multi‐proxy dendroclimatology in northern Finland
Danny McCarroll; Mervi Tuovinen; Rochelle Campbell; Mary Gagen; Håkan Grudd; Risto Jalkanen; Neil J. Loader; Iain Robertson
Journal of Quaternary Science · Vol. 26, Issue 1 · pp. 7-14 · 2011
Abstract
Twentieth‐century summer (July–August) temperatures in northern Finland are reconstructed using ring widths, maximum density and stable carbon isotope ratios (δ 13 C) of Scots pine tree rings, and using combinations of these proxies. Verification is based on the coefficient of determination ( r 2 ), reduction of error (RE) and coefficient of efficiency (CE) statistics. Of the individual proxies, δ 13 C performs best, followed by maximum density. Combining δ 13 C and maximum density strengthens the climate signal but adding ring widths leads to little improvement. Blue intensity, an inexpensive alternative to X‐ray densitometry, is shown to perform similarly. Multi‐proxy reconstruction of summer temperatures from a single site produces strong correlations with gridded climate data over most of northern Fennoscandia. Since relatively few trees are required (