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Assessment of the residential Finnish wolf population combines DNA captures, citizen observations and mortality data using a Bayesian state-space model

Samu Mäntyniemi; Inari Helle; Ilpo Kojola
European Journal of Wildlife Research · Vol. 68, Issue 6 · 2022

Abstract

Assessment of the Finnish wolf population relies on multiple sources of information. This paper describes how Bayesian inference is used to pool the information contained in different data sets (point observations, non-invasive genetics, known mortalities) for the estimation of the number of territories occupied by family packs and pairs. The output of the assessment model is a joint probability distribution, which describes current knowledge about the number of wolves within each territory. The joint distribution can be used to derive probability distributions for the total number of wolves in all territories and for the pack status within each territory. Most of the data set comprises of both voluntary-provided point observations and DNA samples provided by volunteers and research personnel. The new method reduces the role of expert judgement in the assessment process, providing increased transparency and repeatability.

Bibliographic Information

JournalEuropean Journal of Wildlife Research
PublisherSpringer
Publication Date2022-12-01
Publication Year2022
Volume68
Issue6
Document TypeJournal Article
Print ISSN1612-4642
eISSN1439-0574
DOI10.1007/s10344-022-01615-5

Access Information

NARA Access Coverage1955-01-01~Current
Journal Homepagehttps://www.springer.com/journal/10344
Publisher PageOpen Publisher Page
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