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Estimating Time‐Varying Productivity and Reference Points: A Case of North Sea Demersal Fish StocksNARA Subscribed
The productivity of marine fish populations determines both maximum sustainable yield (MSY) and resilience to exploitation. While biological reference points like MSY and depend on species traits and population density, they are also influenced by environmental variability and ecological interactions. However, commonly used models, such as stock–recruitment and surplus production models (SPMs), often assume constant productivi...
Attending to spatial social–ecological sensitivities to improve trade‐off analysis in natural resource managementNARA Subscribed
Balancing trade‐offs amongst social–ecological objectives is a central aim of natural resource management. However, objectives and resources often have spatial dimensions, which are usually ignored in trade‐off analyses. We examine how simultaneously integrating social–ecological benefits and their spatial complexities can improve trade‐off analysis. We use Pacific herring ( Clupea pallasii, Clupeidae)—an ecologically importan...
Complex dynamics may limit prediction in marine fisheriesNARA Subscribed
Complex nonlinear dynamics in marine fisheries create challenges for prediction and management, yet the extent to which they occur in fisheries is not well known. Using nonlinear forecasting models, we analysed over 200 time series of survey abundance and landings from two distinct ecosystems for patterns of dynamic complexity (dimensionality and nonlinear dynamics) and predictability. Differences in system dimensionality and...
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