As climate change continues, the likelihood of passing critical thresholds or tipping points increases. Hence, there is a need to advance the science for detecting such thresholds. In this paper, we assess the needs and opportunities for Earth Observation (EO, here understood to refer to satellite observations) to inform society in responding to the risks associated with ten potential large-scale ocean tipping elements: Atlant...

Aim This paper describes a set of integrative scenarios developed in the ALARM (Assessing LArge‐scale environmental Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods) project. The ultimate aim of ALARM was to develop and test methods and protocols for the assessment of large‐scale environmental risks to biodiversity and to evaluate mitigation options. Scenarios provide a tool for exploring such risks and the policy options to mitigat...

Aim This paper identifies socio‐economic driving forces of biodiversity change and analyses their political and economic dynamics by modelling socio‐economic parts of three scenario storylines developed for the ALARM (assessing large‐scale risks for biodiversity with tested methods) project. In the BAMBU (business‐as‐might‐be‐usual) scenario policy decisions already made in the European Union (EU) are implemented and enforced,...