The sustainability of cropping systems is linked to their circularity, which is their ability to close resource cycles such as carbon and nitrogen through strategies for managing crop residues, byproducts, and other inputs. Here, we investigate three crop rotations—business‐as‐usual (BAU), vegan, and integrated crop‐livestock systems (ICLS)—varying in livestock integration, crop residue fate, and human diet sustained. Under te...

Honeybees, Apis mellifera , have experienced the full impacts of globalisation, including the recent invasion by the parasitic mite Varroa destructor , now one of the main causes of colony losses worldwide. The strong selection pressure it exerts has led some colonies to develop defence strategies conferring some degree of resistance to the parasite. Assuming these traits are partly heritable, selective breeding of naturally r...

Efforts to limit global warming to below 2°C in relation to the pre‐industrial level are under way, in accordance with the 2015 Paris Agreement. However, most impact research on agriculture to date has focused on impacts of warming >2°C on mean crop yields, and many previous studies did not focus sufficiently on extreme events and yield interannual variability. Here, with the latest climate scenarios from the Half a degree Add...

Wheat grain protein concentration is an important determinant of wheat quality for human nutrition that is often overlooked in efforts to improve crop production. We tested and applied a 32‐multi‐model ensemble to simulate global wheat yield and quality in a changing climate. Potential benefits of elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentration by 2050 on global wheat grain and protein yield are likely to be negated by impacts from ri...

A recent innovation in assessment of climate change impact on agricultural production has been to use crop multimodel ensembles ( MME s). These studies usually find large variability between individual models but that the ensemble mean (e‐mean) and median (e‐median) often seem to predict quite well. However, few studies have specifically been concerned with the predictive quality of those ensemble predictors. We ask what is th...