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Author: Bingke Wang ×Clear All Filters
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To evaluate tropical cyclone forecasting on synoptic timescale, tracking and intensity are used. On subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale, what aspects of tropical cyclones should be predicted and how to evaluate forecasting skills still remain open questions. Following our previous work, which proposed using daily tropical cyclone probability (DTCP) as a measure of tropical cyclone activity and the debiased Brier skill scor...