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This study considers long‐term precipitation and temperature variability across the Caribbean using two gridded data sets ( CRU TS 3.21 and GPCCv5 ). We look at trends across four different regions (Northern, Eastern, Southern and Western), for three different seasons (May to July, August to October and November to April) and for three different periods (1901–2012, 1951–2012 and 1979–2012). There are no century‐long trends in...
Weather typing, based on surface pressure charts, has been one of the principal means of analysis in synoptic climatology. Here, we use an automated scheme to derive weather types ( WTs ) and also calculate Lamb weather types ( LWTs ) for the Falkland Islands. The WTs are based on sea‐level pressure data estimated using two reanalysis products: one that extends from 1948 to 2014 and another that just uses station pressure data...
Downscaling heavy precipitation over the United Kingdom: a comparison of dynamical and statistical methods and their future scenariosNARA Subscribed
Six statistical and two dynamical downscaling models were compared with regard to their ability to downscale seven seasonal indices of heavy precipitation for two station networks in northwest and southeast England. The skill among the eight downscaling models was high for those indices and seasons that had greater spatial coherence. Generally, winter showed the highest downscaling skill and summer the lowest. The rainfall ind...
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