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Lepidocybium flavobrunneum [Smith, 1843], commonly known as escolar, is a large pelagic species, important for global and local fisheries, particularly in the southwestern South Atlantic Ocean (SWAO), where it constitutes a significant portion of the catch. However, despite its important socioeconomic role, it remains less studied compared to other large pelagic species. Enhancing research efforts is therefore key to better un...
Climate change poses significant risks to Mediterranean aquaculture, with sea surface temperature (SST) identified as a critical stressor affecting cultivated species. This study aims to assess climate-related risks for coastal aquaculture in the Valencian Community (Spain) by analyzing SST spatiotemporal variability and predicting future trends. A multi-method approach was employed, combining ARIMA models for 10-year predicti...
A computationally efficient procedure for combining ecological datasets by means of sequential consensus inferenceNARA Subscribed
In ecology and environmental sciences, combining diverse datasets has become an essential tool for managing the increasing complexity and volume of ecological data. However, as data complexity and volume grow, the computational demands of previously proposed models for data integration escalate, creating significant challenges for practical implementation. This study introduces a sequential consensus Bayesian inference procedu...
Ecological niche models (ENMs) and species distribution models (SDMs) have been widely applied to various studies relevant to biogeography, conservation biology, and ecology. These modelling techniques seek to develop spatial maps for projecting, among others past, current, and future species distributions. Born in the field of terrestrial ecology, only in recent years have these models been applied to marine environmental iss...
The protection of fish nurseries has been recognized as a useful tool to efficiently manage fisheries given that protected areas enhance the recruitment of target species. To identify and locate potential nursery areas, a solid understanding of species-environment relationships and their spatio-temporal dynamics is needed. Within this context, in this study we assess where European hake ( Merluccius merluccius ) recruits persi...
A spatio-temporal hierarchical Markov switching model for the early detection of influenza outbreaksNARA Subscribed
Rapidly detecting the beginning of influenza outbreaks helps health authorities to reduce their impact. Accounting for the spatial distribution of the data can greatly improve the performance of an outbreak detection method by promptly detecting the first foci of infection. The use of Hidden Markov chains in temporal models has shown to be great tools for classifying the epidemic or endemic state of influenza data, though thei...
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