Knowing the likelihood of a drought event persisting from one season to the next is vital for informing anticipatory actions that minimise its impacts. Using logistic regression, this study examines the odds of a drought episode persisting from one season to the next over Southern Africa during the 1950–2021 period. The study further investigates the influence of nine climate modes of variability on drought persistence over So...

Decision‐scale relevant climate information on climate change is needed to inform policy and decision making but often involves high uncertainty. To enhance confidence in interpreting regional climate projections, it is important to understand the underlying physical processes driving the change. This study explores a methodology to investigate climate change as a function of changes in frequency of synoptic circulation. The a...