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Climate change poses significant risks to Mediterranean aquaculture, with sea surface temperature (SST) identified as a critical stressor affecting cultivated species. This study aims to assess climate-related risks for coastal aquaculture in the Valencian Community (Spain) by analyzing SST spatiotemporal variability and predicting future trends. A multi-method approach was employed, combining ARIMA models for 10-year predicti...
Temporary Absence of Warming in the Northern Weddell Sea Validates Expected Responses of Antarctic Seals to Sea Ice ChangeNARA Subscribed
The temporal abundance of Antarctic seals is known to be influenced by variation in the sea ice environment, itself affected by temperature and daylight cycles across seasons. However, the sensitivity of seal populations to changes in their environment beyond expected natural variation depends on their abilities to deal with extreme conditions and to take advantage of favourable environmental changes, which is rarely validated...
Understanding and managing the response of marine ecosystems to human pressures including climate change requires reliable large-scale and multi-decadal information on the state of key populations. These populations include the pelagic animals that support ecosystem services including carbon export and fisheries. The use of research vessels to collect information using scientific nets and acoustics is being replaced with techn...
Ninety years of change, from commercial extinction to recovery, range expansion and decline for Antarctic fur seals at South GeorgiaNARA Subscribed
With environmental change, understanding how species recover from overharvesting and maintain viable populations is central to ecosystem restoration. Here, we reconstruct 90 years of recovery trajectory of the Antarctic fur seal at South Georgia (S.W. Atlantic), a key indicator species in the krill‐based food webs of the Southern Ocean. After being harvested to commercial extinction by 1907, this population rebounded and now c...
A review of leopard seal (Hydrurga leptonyx) births and pups using a standardised age-class classification systemNARA Subscribed
Despite the ecological importance of leopard seals ( Hydrurga leptonyx ) as apex marine predators, little is known about their reproductive biology. To address this paucity, we reviewed leopard seal birth and pup records and applied a standardised age-class classification system to differentiate between births/newborns (offspring ≤ 14 days old) and pups (> 14 days but < 6 months old). We compiled 19 birth/newborn and 141 pup r...
Despite an increasing appreciation of the importance of host–microbe interactions in ecological and evolutionary processes, the factors shaping microbial communities in wild populations remain poorly understood. We therefore exploited a natural experiment provided by two adjacent Antarctic fur seal ( Arctocephalus gazella ) colonies of high and low social density and combined 16S rRNA metabarcoding with microsatellite profilin...
Life history buffering in Antarctic mammals and birds against changing patterns of climate and environmental variationNARA Subscribed
The consequences of warming for Antarctic long‐lived organisms depend on their ability to survive changing patterns of climate and environmental variation. Among birds and mammals of different Antarctic regions, including emperor penguins, snow petrels, southern fulmars, Antarctic fur seals and Weddell seals, we found strong support for selection of life history traits that reduce interannual variation in fitness. These specie...
No relationship between microsatellite variation and neonatal fitness in Antarctic fur seals, Arctocephalus gazellaNARA Subscribed
Published studies of wild vertebrate populations have almost universally reported positive associations between genetic variation measured at microsatellite loci and fitness, creating the impression of ubiquity both in terms of the species and the traits involved. However, there is concern that this picture may be misleading because negative results frequently go unpublished. Here, we analyse the relationship between genotypic...
Contrasting population changes in sympatric penguin species in association with climate warmingNARA Subscribed
Climate warming and associated sea ice reductions in Antarctica have modified habitat conditions for some species. These include the congeneric Adélie, chinstrap and gentoo penguins, which now demonstrate remarkable population responses to regional warming. However, inconsistencies in the direction of population changes between species at different study sites complicate the understanding of causal processes. Here, we show tha...
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