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Representation of Long‐Term Observed UK Winter Precipitation Trends and Variability in UKCP18 Global Climate ModelsNARA Subscribed
Evaluating the representation of observed precipitation trends in historical climate model simulations is challenging due to the combined effects of dynamical and thermodynamic changes and the strong influence of natural variability. Here, we assess the representation of long‐term (1901–2023) trends and variability in UK winter mean precipitation, focusing on the separation of dynamical and non‐dynamical components. We apply a...
Scaling of Short‐Duration, Summer Rainfall Event Temporal Profiles With Warming Over Great BritainNARA Subscribed
The relationship between extreme rainfall and temperature, known as temperature scaling, is widely used to understand changes in rainfall characteristics under a warming climate. While most previous studies have focussed on fixed‐duration intensities or event totals, this study examines how different aspects of the rainfall temporal profile respond to temperature. Specifically, we focus on temperature scaling of total event de...
Introducing insect biocontrol agents to manage invasive plants is an effective and sustainable management option. However, biocontrol agents sometimes fail to establish or are ineffective in the new range. Heather beetle Lochmaea suturalis, (Thomson, 1866) (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) sourced from the United Kingdom (UK), was introduced into New Zealand’s North Island Central Plateau (CP) to control invasive Calluna vulgaris (L...
Environmental Gradients Decouple Demographic and Adaptive Connectivity in a Highly Mobile Coastal Marine SpeciesNARA Subscribed
Understanding how eco‐evolutionary processes shape genetic variation and persistence in marine species with highly variable recruitment dynamics and dispersal potential remains a fundamental challenge, particularly when considering the interplay between gene flow and local adaptation. Here, we employed a seascape genomics approach to investigate population connectivity and local adaptation in Australasian snapper ( Chrysophrys...
Linking Climate and Demography to Predict Population Dynamics and Persistence Under Global ChangeNARA Subscribed
Predicting the effects of climate change on plant and animal populations is an urgent challenge for understanding the fate of biodiversity under global change. At the surface, quantifying how climate drives the vital rates that underlie population dynamics appears simple, yet many decisions are required to connect climate to demographic data. Competing approaches have emerged in the literature with little consensus around best...
In the last 2 decades, UK research institutes have led a wide range of developments in marine data assimilation (MDA), covering areas from operational applications in physics and biogeochemistry to fundamental theory. We highlight the emergence of strong collaboration in the UK MDA community over this period and the increasing unification of its tools. We focus on identifying the MDA stakeholder community and current/future ar...
High-resolution climate models improve simulation of monsoon rainfall changes in the Ganga–Brahmaputra-Meghna basinNARA Subscribed
This study investigates the impact of model resolution on simulating South Asian monsoon rainfall, focusing on the Ganges–Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) basin. By comparing high- and low-resolution versions of four CMIP6 HighResMIP model families against reference datasets (MSWEP and ERA5), we emphasize the advantages of high-resolution models in accurately simulating key monsoon characteristics, including annual rainfall, timing, i...
A climatology of local hourly wet spells across the tropicsNARA Subscribed
Along the U.S. east coast, the widespread non-native red alga Gracilaria vermiculophylla provides habitat for an array of macroinvertebrates, including the eastern mudsnail Ilyanassa obsoleta . Though I. obsoleta tolerates a wide temperature range, increases in summer water temperatures may enhance mortality; furthermore, the presence of non-native algae in rising seawater temperatures could exacerbate harmful conditions. We t...
Early life history traits and elevated growth trajectories associated with survival into winter in range-expanding coral reef fishNARA Subscribed
Climate change is driving the poleward range expansion of sub-tropical and tropical marine species into temperate ecosystems, with ocean-warming hotspots experiencing rapid shifts in species distributions. While recruitment to temperate waters by expatriating tropical vagrant fish is increasing, surviving through the cooler winters remains a significant barrier to their establishment. This study investigates the links between...
Climate-induced ocean warming facilitates the poleward range expansion of tropical marine species into temperate waters. Such tropicalisation is reshaping marine ecosystems globally and has ecological implications. Our understanding of the factors influencing the establishment and persistence of vagrant tropical species in temperate waters remains limited. To address this knowledge gap, we examined which early life history tra...