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Climate Dynamics · 2025 · Vol. 63 · Issue 8 · Springer
The value of Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) prediction for extratropical subseasonal forecasts hinges on the assumption that reliable MJO simulation translates to reliable simulation of its teleconnections. This study examines the prediction of the MJO and its teleconnections in two recently developed NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS) coupled model prototypes: Prototype 7 (UFS7) and Prototype 8 (UFS8). The MJO is skillfully...
Climate Dynamics · 2025 · Vol. 63 · Issue 1 · Springer
This study continues the evaluation of the prediction of MJO teleconnections in two versions of the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS): prototype 5 (UFS5) and prototype 6 (UFS6). The key difference between the two prototypes is in the number of vertical layers (127 in UFS6 vs. 64 in UFS5) and model top (80 km in UFS6 vs. 54 km in UFS5), and the role of this increased resolution for the stratospheric pathway of MJO teleconnecti...