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Evaluation and Projection of Drought Frequency, Intensity and Duration Over AustraliaNARA Subscribed
Using two generations of regional climate simulations (NARCliM1.0 and NARCliM1.5) downscaled from CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models, three drought indices: the SPI (Standardised Precipitation Index), aSPI (agricultural SPI), and SPEI (Standardised Precipitation‐Evapotranspiration Index) are assessed for Australia. Biases in simulated drought frequency vary among models, while consistency is observed in duration and intensi...
Meteorological analysis of an extreme pyroconvective wildfire at Dunalley-Forcett, AustraliaNARA Subscribed
A major bushfire occurred during January 2013 near the towns Forcett and Dunalley in southeast Tasmania, Australia. Several records were broken by this wildfire, in terms of impacts to eco-systems, infrastructure and lives, and it was the first pyrocumulonimbus documented in Tasmania. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology high-resolution regional reanalysis for Tasmania (BARRA-TA), with 1.5-km spatial resolution, together with...
Development of Asymmetric Convection in a Tropical Cyclone under Environmental Uniform Flow and Vertical Wind ShearNARA Subscribed
Idealized numerical simulations have been carried out to reveal the complexity in the development of asymmetric convection in a tropical cyclone (TC) under the influence of an environment with either uniform flow, vertical wind shear (VWS), or both. Results show that rainwater is enhanced to the right of the motion in the outer rainband, but such enhancement occurs in the upshear-left area of the inner-core region. Additionall...
Investigating future changes in precipitation interannual variability and extremes over southern ChinaNARA Subscribed
The Regional Climate Model system version 4 (RegCM4) has been used to dynamically downscale outputs from four different general circulation models (GCM) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to the horizontal resolution of 25 km × 25 km, in order to study changes in the Southern China hydrological cycle according to the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 between 2050‐to‐2099 and...
Based on the ERA5 reanalysis dataset, this paper examines the vertical variation of tropical cyclone (TC) size in the western North Pacific during 1998–2018. The TC size is defined as the distance from the TC centre to the radius at which the azimuthally averaged relative vorticity decreases to 1 × 10 −5 s −1 (Rvor). It is found that TCs with similar sizes at the surface can be significantly different in size at higher levels....
Mechanisms of breast cancer metastasisNARA Subscribed
Invasive breast cancer tends to metastasize to lymph nodes and systemic sites. The management of metastasis has evolved by focusing on controlling the growth of the disease in the breast/chest wall, and at metastatic sites, initially by surgery alone, then by a combination of surgery with radiation, and later by adding systemic treatments in the form of chemotherapy, hormone manipulation, targeted therapy, immunotherapy and ot...
A Potential Risk Index Dataset for Landfalling Tropical Cyclones over the Chinese Mainland (PRITC dataset V1.0)NARA Subscribed
A dataset entitled “A potential risk index dataset for landfalling tropical cyclones over the Chinese mainland” (PRITC dataset V1.0) is described in this paper, as are some basic statistical analyses. Estimating the severity of the impacts of tropical cyclones (TCs) that make landfall on the Chinese mainland based on observations from 1401 meteorological stations was proposed in a previous study, including an index combining T...
Collective metastasis: coordinating the multicellular voyageNARA Subscribed
Intraseasonal variability of the genesis potential index and its relationship with tropical cyclogenesis over the western North PacificNARA Subscribed
The intraseasonal variability (ISV) of the genesis potential index (GPI) and its relationship with tropical cyclone (TC) genesis over the western North Pacific (WNP) are examined for the summer (May–October) during 1982–2016. The distribution of GPI is separated into three sub‐regions as South China Sea (SCS), western part of WNP (WWNP) and eastern part of WNP (EWNP). All three regions have a statistically significant power sp...
Comparison between the active tropical cyclone seasons over the Arabian Sea and Bay of BengalNARA Subscribed
Climatologically, tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the North Indian Ocean (NIO) is asymmetric between the Arabian Sea (AS) and Bay of Bengal (BoB) basin. For the 172 TCs formed over NIO during 1983–2015, only 56 formed over AS and the rest (116) over BoB. During the period, AS was very active in a few years (but with quiet BoB season), and the opposite occurred in some others. It is found that this contrast occurred mostly du...
This paper presents an evaluation study of the Regional Climate Model version 4.3 ( RegCM4 .3) over the Loess Plateau in northern China, which is a semi‐arid region characterized by complex topography. During recent years, a series of reforestation programmes have been implemented across the region that might influence the local climate in complex ways. To better understand the local climate, the RegCM4 .3 was applied to simul...
Estimating the ecological, economic and social impacts of ocean acidification and warming on UK fisheriesNARA Subscribed
Assessments of the combined ecological impacts of ocean acidification and warming ( OAW ) and their social and economic consequences can help develop adaptive and responsive management strategies in the most sensitive regions. Here, available observational and experimental data, theoretical, and modelling approaches are combined to project and quantify potential effects of OAW on the future fisheries catches and resulting reve...
Fishing groupers towards extinction: a global assessment of threats and extinction risks in a billion dollar fisheryNARA Subscribed
Groupers are a valuable fishery resource of reef ecosystems and are among those species most vulnerable to fishing pressure because of life history characteristics including longevity, late sexual maturation and aggregation spawning. Despite their economic importance, few grouper fisheries are regularly monitored or managed at the species level, and many are reported to be undergoing declines. To identify major threats to grou...