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This paper presents a hybrid prediction approach based on Dynamic Mode Decomposition principle and designed to improve 30-day forecasts of the celestial pole offset (CPO), expressed through its components dX and dY. We assess the method in an experimental framework referenced to the IERS EOP 14 C04 and IERS EOP 20 C04 series. The procedure also incorporates the JPL dX, dY time series as an auxiliary input, used as a supplement...
Marine megafauna species are affected by a wide range of anthropogenic threats. To evaluate the risk of such threats, species’ vulnerability to each threat must first be determined. We build on the existing threats classification scheme and ranking system of the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species by assessing the vulnerability of 256 marine megafauna species to 23 at‐sea threat...
Regional climate downscaling over Europe: perspectives from the EURO-CORDEX communityNARA Subscribed
The European CORDEX (EURO-CORDEX) initiative is a large voluntary effort that seeks to advance regional climate and Earth system science in Europe. As part of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) - Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), it shares the broader goals of providing a model evaluation and climate projection framework and improving communication with both the General Circulation Model (GCM) and...
Accurate, short-term predictions of Earth orientation parameters (EOP) are needed for many real-time applications including precise tracking and navigation of interplanetary spacecraft, climate forecasting, and disaster prevention. Out of the EOP, the LOD (length of day), which represents the changes in the Earth’s rotation rate, is the most challenging to predict since it is largely affected by the torques associated with cha...
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