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The impact of rising temperatures on the prevalence of coral diseases and its predictability: A global meta‐analysisNARA Subscribed
Coral reefs are under threat from disease as climate change alters environmental conditions. Rising temperatures exacerbate coral disease, but this relationship is likely complex as other factors also influence coral disease prevalence. To better understand this relationship, we meta‐analytically examined 108 studies for changes in global coral disease over time alongside temperature, expressed using average summer sea surface...
Developmental plasticity in thermal tolerance: Ontogenetic variation, persistence, and future directionsNARA Subscribed
Understanding the factors affecting thermal tolerance is crucial for predicting the impact climate change will have on ectotherms. However, the role developmental plasticity plays in allowing populations to cope with thermal extremes is poorly understood. Here, we meta‐analyse how thermal tolerance is initially and persistently impacted by early (embryonic and juvenile) thermal environments by using data from 150 experimental...
Scaling the linkage between environmental niches and functional traits for improved spatial predictions of biological communitiesNARA Subscribed
Issue Approaches to predicting species assemblages through stacking individual niche‐based species distribution models (S‐SDMs) need to account for community processes other than abiotic filtering. Such constraints have been introduced by implementing ecological assembly rules (EARs) into S‐SDMs, and can be based on patterns of functional traits in communities. Despite being logically valid, this approach has led to a limited...
Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in EuropeNARA Subscribed
Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current species ranges underestimate the potential distribution when projected in time and/or space. A multi‐temporal model calibration approach has been suggested as an alternative, and we evaluate this using 13,000 years of data. Location Europe. Methods We used fossil‐based records of presence for Picea abies , Abies alba and Fagus sylvatica and six climatic variables for the...
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