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Southern Hemisphere sea ice response to different flow regimes over the Antarctic PeninsulaNARA Subscribed
Low-level winds over Antarctica are overwhelmingly controlled by the local orography. They, in turn, exert a large control over sea ice formation and transport. In this work, we investigate the relationship between Antarctic sea ice and the parameterized orographic gravity wave drag in the UK CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) climate model, HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL. We present results from sensitivity tests in whic...
Decadal prediction system based on the INM RAS climate modelNARA Subscribed
Dynamical downscaling of CMIP6 scenarios with ENEA-REG: an impact-oriented application for the Med-CORDEX regionNARA Subscribed
In the framework of the coordinated regional modeling initiative Med-CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment), we present an updated version of the regional Earth System Model ENEA-REG designed to downscale, over the Mediterranean basin, the models used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The regional ESM includes coupled atmosphere (WRF), ocean (MITgcm), land (Noah-MP, embedded wi...
Projections of winter polynyas and their biophysical impacts in the Ross Sea AntarcticaNARA Subscribed
This study investigates winter polynyas in the southern Ross Sea, Antarctica where several polynyas are known to form. Coastal polynyas are areas of lower sea ice concentration and/or thickness along the coast that are otherwise surrounded by more extensive, thicker sea ice pack. Polynyas are also locations where organisms can exploit both the ice substrate and pelagic resources. Using a self organizing map algorithm, we ident...
Changes in atmospheric moisture transport over tropical South America: an analysis under a climate change scenarioNARA Subscribed
Warming induced by increased greenhouse gas emissions is intensifying the global water cycle and increasing the water vapor content of the global atmosphere. However, there is a lack of scientific literature assessing how regional atmospheric moisture transport and recycling will change in a warming climate. This work analyzes the projections of atmospheric moisture transport and recycling over tropical South America by the en...
Evaluation and projections of the East Asian summer monsoon in a perturbed parameter ensembleNARA Subscribed
The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is a dominant driver of East Asian climate, with variations in its strength potentially impacting the livelihoods of millions of people. Understanding, predicting, and assessing uncertainties in these variations are therefore important area of research. Here, we present a study of the projected twenty-first century changes in the EASM using a ‘perturbed parameter ensemble’ (PPE) of HadGEM3-...
Using a new local high resolution daily gridded dataset for Attica to statistically downscale climate projectionsNARA Subscribed
In this study we present a methodological framework to obtain statistically downscaled high resolution climate projections over the Attica region in Greece. The framework relies on the construction of a local daily gridded dataset for temperature variables (maximum, minimum and mean daily temperatures) and daily precipitation sums. To this aim, a mosaic of data that includes observations derived from ground stations and a high...
Dynamic and thermodynamic impacts of climate change on organized convection in AlaskaNARA Subscribed
Convective storms can cause economic damage and harm to humans by producing flash floods, lightning and severe weather. While organized convection is well studied in the tropics and mid-latitudes, few studies have focused on the physics and climate change impacts of pan-Arctic convective systems. Using a convection-permitting model we showed in a predecessor study that organized convective storm frequency might triple by the e...