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Will natura 2000 european network of protected areas support conservation of Southwestern Alps endemic flora under future climate?NARA Subscribed
Networks of protected areas (PAs) are globally recognized as playing a key role for in situ conservation of species. Despite a high potential for biodiversity conservation, PAs may not mitigate the current biodiversity loss because they do not consider climate change impact. In fact, because PAs have static geographical boundaries, they may hardly keep pace with dynamics in species distribution caused by the climate change, wh...
Dealing with disjunct populations of vascular plants: implications for assessing the effect of climate changeNARA Subscribed
Species distribution models are the most widely used tool to predict species distributions for species conservation and assessment of climate change impact. However, they usually do not consider intraspecific ecological variation exhibited by many species. Overlooking the potential differentiation among groups of populations may lead to misplacing any conservation actions. This issue may be particularly relevant in species in...
First evidence of post‐glacial contraction of Alpine endemics: Insights from Berardia subacaulis in the European AlpsNARA Subscribed
Aim Late Quaternary glaciations left an enduring imprint on the distribution of species and their genetic structure. The responses of plants endemic to the Alps can be summarized in three major demographic hypotheses: (i) post‐glacial expansion hypothesis; (ii) post‐glacial contraction hypothesis; and (iii) long‐term stability hypothesis. Here we test these hypotheses and reconstruct the time and extent of demographic response...
Effects of environmental heterogeneity on phenotypic variation of the endemic plant Lilium pomponium in the Maritime and Ligurian AlpsNARA Subscribed
Geographical limits of species’ distributions are assumed to be coincident with ecological margins, although this assumption might not always be true. Indeed, harsh environments such as Alpine and Mediterranean ecosystems may favour high phenotypic variability among populations, especially those in peripheral sites. Floral traits are often found to be less variable and less affected by environmental heterogeneity than vegetati...
Climate change and the future of endemic flora in the South Western Alps: relationships between niche properties and extinction riskNARA Subscribed
Climate change seriously threatens biodiversity, particularly in mountain ecosystems. However, studies on climate change effects rarely consider endemic species and their niche properties. Using species distribution models, we assessed the impact of climate change on the endemic flora of the richest centre of endemism in the Alps: the South-Western Alps. We projected the potential distributions of 100 taxa under both an optimi...
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