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Global Change Biology · 2024 · Vol. 30 · Issue 6 · Wiley
Thermal acclimation can provide an essential buffer against heat stress for host populations, while acting simultaneously on various life‐history traits that determine population growth. In turn, the ability of a pathogen to invade a host population is intimately linked to these changes via the supply of new susceptible hosts, as well as the impact of warming on its immediate infection dynamics. Acclimation therefore has conse...
Global Change Biology · 2024 · Vol. 30 · Issue 1 · Wiley
Most models exploring the effects of climate change on mosquito‐borne disease ignore thermal adaptation. However, if local adaptation leads to changes in mosquito thermal responses, “one size fits all” models could fail to capture current variation between populations and future adaptive responses to changes in temperature. Here, we assess phenotypic adaptation to temperature in Aedes aegypti , the primary vector of dengue, Zi...
Ecology Letters · 2021 · Vol. 24 · Issue 4 · Wiley
Vector‐borne diseases (VBDs) are embedded within complex socio‐ecological systems. While research has traditionally focused on the direct effects of VBDs on human morbidity and mortality, it is increasingly clear that their impacts are much more pervasive. VBDs are dynamically linked to feedbacks between environmental conditions, vector ecology, disease burden, and societal responses that drive transmission. As a result, VBDs...
Ecology Letters · 2021 · Vol. 24 · Issue 3 · Wiley
Experiments and models suggest that climate affects mosquito‐borne disease transmission. However, disease transmission involves complex nonlinear interactions between climate and population dynamics, which makes detecting climate drivers at the population level challenging. By analysing incidence data, estimated susceptible population size, and climate data with methods based on nonlinear time series analysis (collectively ref...
Ecology Letters · 2019 · Vol. 22 · Issue 10 · Wiley
Mosquito‐borne diseases cause a major burden of disease worldwide. The vital rates of these ectothermic vectors and parasites respond strongly and nonlinearly to temperature and therefore to climate change. Here, we review how trait‐based approaches can synthesise and mechanistically predict the temperature dependence of transmission across vectors, pathogens, and environments. We present 11 pathogens transmitted by 15 differe...
Ecology · 2018 · Vol. 99 · Issue 9 · Wiley
Seasonal epidemics erupt commonly in nature and are driven by numerous mechanisms. Here, we suggest a new mechanism that could determine the size and timing of seasonal epidemics: rearing environment changes the performance of parasites. This mechanism arises when the environmental conditions in which a parasite is produced impact its performance—independently from the current environment. To illustrate the potential for “rear...
Ecology · 2017 · Vol. 98 · Issue 11 · Wiley
Why do natural populations vary in the frequency of sexual reproduction? Virulent parasites may help explain why sex is favored during disease epidemics. To illustrate, we show a higher frequency of males and sexually produced offspring in natural populations of a facultative parthenogenetic host during fungal epidemics. In a multi‐year survey of 32 lakes, the frequency of males (an index of sex) was higher in populations of z...
Ecology · 2016 · Vol. 97 · Issue 2 · Wiley
Should parasites stabilize or destabilize consumer–resource dynamics? Recent theory suggests that parasite‐enhanced mortality may confer underappreciated stability to their hosts. We tested this hypothesis using disease in zooplankton. Across both natural and experimental epidemics, bigger epidemics correlated with larger—not smaller—host fluctuations. Thus, we tested two mechanistic hypotheses to explain destabilization or ap...