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International Journal of Climatology · 2020 · Vol. 40 · Issue 13 · Wiley
The potential and actual forecast skill of peak summer monsoon precipitation (July–August [JA]) over the core summer monsoon region of Pakistan (CSMRP: 68°–76°E, 30°–36°N) is investigated. The predictions from the latest version of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecast System5 (SEAS5) and the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) initialized in the beginning of June, May, and April are utilized. The potenti...
International Journal of Climatology · 2017 · Vol. 37 · Issue 13 · Wiley
This study examines the effects of convective parameterization schemes ( CPSs ) on the simulated June–September ( JJAS ) precipitation climatology, variability and predictability over southwestern Arabian Peninsula and northeast Africa during 1981–2014 within an atmospheric global climate model framework. The three CPSs used are: the simplified Arakawa–Schubert ( SAS ) scheme; the SAS scheme with Tokioka modification ( STOK )...