PAUL SPENCE results 27
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The Culturable Mycobiome of Powdery Mildew‐Infected PlantsNARA Subscribed
Botanical gardens host diverse plant assemblages that provide valuable opportunities to study fungal biodiversity and plant–fungal interactions. Powdery mildews ( Erysiphaceae ) are common pathogens in these settings, yet little is known about how they co‐occur with culturable fungi present on infected leaves. To document fungi recovered from infected tissue, we surveyed powdery mildew infections at the JC Raulston Arboretum,...
Scientific advice for fisheries management rarely takes into account how fishers react to regulations, which can lead to unexpected results and unrealistic expectations of the effectiveness of the management measures. Short‐term decisions about when and where to fish are one of the greatest sources of uncertainty in predicting management outcomes. Several models have been developed to predict how fishers allocate effort in spa...
In the context of past and present climate change, the Southern Ocean (SO) has been identified as a crucial region modulating the concentration of atmospheric CO 2 . The sustained upwelling of carbon-rich deep waters and inefficient nutrient utilization at the surface of the SO leads to an outgassing of natural CO 2 , while anthropogenic CO 2 is entrained to depth during the formation of Antarctic Bottom water (AABW), Antarcti...
The NASA space weather science and observation gap analysisNARA Subscribed
Propagation of barotropic Kelvin waves around AntarcticaNARA Subscribed
Barotropic (i.e., depth-uniform) coastal oceanic Kelvin waves can provide rapid teleconnections from climate and weather events in one location to remote regions of the globe. Studies suggest that barotropic Kelvin waves observed around Antarctica may provide a mechanism for rapidly propagating circulation anomalies around the continent, with implications for continental shelf temperatures along the West Antarctic Peninsula an...
Understanding change at the base of the marine foodwebs is fundamental to understanding how climate change can impact fisheries. However, there is a shortage of empirical measurements of primary productivity, and models estimates often disagree with each other by an order of magnitude or more. In this study we incorporate information from empirical studies and a suite of Earth system models statistically downscaled using an en...
Fish communities are multispecies assemblages, so ideally multispecies models should be used directly for assessing this resource. However, progress in this direction has been slow, partly because these models are often more complex and take longer to fit, rendering them too slow to demonstrate near-real-time utility, and thus creating a perception that they are opaque to stakeholders. In this study we implemented a multispeci...
In marine management, fish stocks are often managed on a stock‐by‐stock basis using single‐species models. Many of these models are based upon statistical techniques and are good at assessing the current state and making short‐term predictions; however, as they do not model interactions between stocks, they lack predictive power on longer timescales. Additionally, there are size‐based multi‐species models that represent key bi...
A general framework for combining ecosystem modelsNARA Subscribed
When making predictions about ecosystems, we often have available a number of different ecosystem models that attempt to represent their dynamics in a detailed mechanistic way. Each of these can be used as a simulator of large‐scale experiments and make projections about the fate of ecosystems under different scenarios to support the development of appropriate management strategies. However, structural differences, systematic...
The impact of a loss of hydrologic connectivity on boreal lake thermal and evaporative regimesNARA Subscribed
This paper summarizes the initial results (first 4 yr) of a whole‐catchment manipulation to evaluate the impact of a loss of hydrologic connectivity of a boreal lake with its watershed on lake thermal and evaporative regimes. We diverted the upstream flow to a fourth order lake resulting in a marked reduction (81%) in watershed area, and compared the response to a comparable control lake in a headwater position. The manipulati...
Testing the sensitivity of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet to Southern Ocean dynamics: past changes and future implicationsNARA Subscribed
The stability of Antarctic ice sheets and their potential contribution to sea level under projected future warming remains highly uncertain. The Last Interglacial (135 000–116 000 years ago) provides a potential analogue, with global temperatures 2 °C higher and rates of sea‐level rise >5.6 m ka −1 , leading to sea levels 6.6–9.4 m higher than present. The source(s) of this sea‐level rise remain fiercely debated. Here we repor...
When two commercially important marine species coexist in the same habitat, conflict may arise between different sectors of the fishing industry. A good example of this situation is when fishers using towed bottom‐fishing gear ( scallop dredges, beam trawls, and otter trawls) operate in the same areas in which fixed‐bottom gear ( crab pots) are deployed. We examined an area subject to a voluntary agreement between these two se...