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Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment · 2026 · Vol. 40 · Issue 6 · Springer
Seasonal prediction of streamflow plays a crucial role in water allocation in southeastern Australia, where hydroclimatic variability is modulated by large-scale ocean-atmosphere interactions. Among them, the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is recognised as a dominant driver, commonly represented by the Niño 3.4 index anomalies. This study examines the Niño 3.4 index to predict spring streamflow across Victoria. Two modell...