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The “Last-mile Efforts” of Subseasonal Prediction and Services for Climate Resilience and Sustainability: Review and OutlookNARA Subscribed
Subseasonal predictions from 2 weeks to 2 months have made significant advancements over the past decade, driven by progress in physical understanding, climate modeling, computational capabilities, and artificial intelligence (AI). These predictions are increasingly in demand due to their potential to provide stakeholders with adequate lead time for effective disaster adaptation, mitigation, and resource management. However, t...
Predicting Convectively Induced Turbulence With Regionally Convection-Permitting SimulationsNARA Subscribed
Convectively induced turbulence (CIT) is a severe aviation hazard. It is challenging to forecast CIT because low-resolution models cannot explicitly resolve convective motions at kilometer scales. In this study, we used the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) to simulate CIT cases with convection-permitting resolution ( $$\sim $$ ∼ 1 km) in the region of the CIT events and coarse resolution in other parts of the globe. W...
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