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A Decade of Rainfall Manipulation Reveals Growing‐Season Aridity as a Key Determinant of Grassland Productivity and StabilityNARA Subscribed
Warming‐driven intensification of the hydrological cycle is altering global rainfall patterns. However, the relative importance of changes in the amount versus timing of rainfall and the role of atmospheric drivers of moisture demand in modifying relationships between rainfall, biodiversity and ecosystem functioning are currently unresolved. To address this, we undertook a 10‐year rainfall manipulation experiment in a mesic gr...
Nutrient Enrichment Increases Grassland Biomass Sensitivity to Interannual Precipitation VariationNARA Subscribed
Primary production underpins much of ecosystem functioning and is often limited by nutrient and water availability. Ongoing global increases in nutrient inputs and interannual precipitation variability are thus likely to impact primary production, with unclear consequences for interannual variability in plant biomass. We used data from 35 grasslands in the Nutrient Network coordinated fertilization experiment to test if nutrie...
Exploring the impact of climate model accuracy and baseline conditions on estimates of future climate changeNARA Subscribed
Climate change projections depend on future climatic conditions and a historical reference period. A key uncertainty in estimating precipitation projections stems from the uncertain net contribution of internal variability to the value of precipitation averaged over the reference period, $$\:{\delta}_{1}$$ . Here we derive equations that, when used with observational data, climate model output, and Bayes’ Theorem, can estimate...
Statistical properties of multi-year droughts in climate models and observations with corresponding theoretical estimatesNARA Subscribed
Multi-year droughts (MYDs) can have major impacts on ecosystems, agriculture, water resources, economies, people and societies. Here, we examine statistical properties of MYDs consisting of uninterrupted sequences of years in which annual precipitation falls below a given threshold. We examine statistics including the proportion of years that are part of droughts of duration $$\ge n$$ ≥ n years, the proportion of droughts that...
Statistical relationships between the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and El Niño–Southern OscillationNARA Subscribed
The climate of the Pacific Ocean varies on interannual, decadal, and longer timescales. This variability is dominated by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), both of which have profound impacts on countries within and well beyond the Pacific. To date, previous studies have only examined a small subset of the possible links between ENSO, its diversity, and the IPO. Here we focu...
We examine rainfall variability and change in three sub-regions of the state of Victoria in Australia: the Murray Basin Victoria (MBVic), southeast Victoria (SEVic), and southwest Victoria (SWVic). These sub-regions represent three different hydrological super-catchments over Victoria and received average cool season rainfall for the 1997–2018 period, about 15%, 11%, and 8% less, respectively, than the 1900–1959 average. All t...
Climate processes and drivers in the Pacific and global warming: a review for informing Pacific planning agenciesNARA Subscribed
Pacific Island countries are vulnerable to climate variability and change. Developing strategies for adaptation and planning processes in the Pacific requires new knowledge and updated information on climate science. In this paper, we review key climatic processes and drivers that operate in the Pacific, how they may change in the future and what the impact of these changes might be. In particular, our emphasis is on the two m...
Estimating future rainfall distributions in a changing climate for water resource planning: Victoria, AustraliaNARA Subscribed
Here we use observations and simulations from 40 global climate models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), under preindustrial, historical, and a high emission scenario (RCP8.5) to provide estimates of Victorian cool season (April–October) rainfall for the coming century. This includes a new method which exploits recent research that estimated the relative contribution of external forcing and nat...
Two canonically aerobic foraminifera express distinct peroxisomal and mitochondrial metabolismsOA Marine
Certain benthic foraminifera thrive in marine sediments with low or undetectable oxygen. Potential survival avenues used by these supposedly aerobic protists include fermentation and anaerobic respiration, although details on their adaptive mechanisms remain elusive. To better understand the metabolic versatility of foraminifera, we studied two benthic species that thrive in oxygen-depleted marine sediments. Here we detail, vi...
Linking changes in species composition and biomass in a globally distributed grassland experimentNARA Subscribed
Global change drivers, such as anthropogenic nutrient inputs, are increasing globally. Nutrient deposition simultaneously alters plant biodiversity, species composition and ecosystem processes like aboveground biomass production. These changes are underpinned by species extinction, colonisation and shifting relative abundance. Here, we use the Price equation to quantify and link the contributions of species that are lost, gain...
Aging of the vasculature is characterized by endothelial dysfunction and arterial stiffening, two key events in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Treatment with sodium glucose transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors is now known to decrease cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in type 2 diabetes. However, whether SGLT2 inhibition attenuates vascular aging is unknown. We first confirmed in a cohort of adult subjects...
Microbial processing of plant remains is co‐limited by multiple nutrients in global grasslandsNARA Subscribed
Microbial processing of aggregate‐unprotected organic matter inputs is key for soil fertility, long‐term ecosystem carbon and nutrient sequestration and sustainable agriculture. We investigated the effects of adding multiple nutrients (nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium plus nine essential macro‐ and micro‐nutrients) on decomposition and biochemical transformation of standard plant materials buried in 21 grasslands from four c...
The impact of global warming and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on seasonal precipitation extremes in AustraliaNARA Subscribed
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) drives substantial variability in precipitation and drought risk over Australia. Understanding the combined effect of anthropogenic forcing and ENSO on Australian precipitation extremes over the coming century can assist adaptation efforts. Here we use 24 CMIP5 climate models to examine externally forced changes in the frequency of “droughts”, when precipitation falls below the pre-indus...
TRY plant trait database – enhanced coverage and open accessNARA Subscribed
Plant traits—the morphological, anatomical, physiological, biochemical and phenological characteristics of plants—determine how plants respond to environmental factors, affect other trophic levels, and influence ecosystem properties and their benefits and detriments to people. Plant trait data thus represent the basis for a vast area of research spanning from evolutionary biology, community and functional ecology, to biodivers...
Drought consistently alters the composition of soil fungal and bacterial communities in grasslands from two continentsNARA Subscribed
The effects of short‐term drought on soil microbial communities remain largely unexplored, particularly at large scales and under field conditions. We used seven experimental sites from two continents (North America and Australia) to evaluate the impacts of imposed extreme drought on the abundance, community composition, richness, and function of soil bacterial and fungal communities. The sites encompassed different grassland...