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Parameter and uncertainty estimation for process‐oriented population and distribution models: data, statistics and the nicheNARA Subscribed
The spatial distribution of a species is determined by dynamic processes such as reproduction, mortality and dispersal. Conventional static species distribution models (SDMs) do not incorporate these processes explicitly. This limits their applicability, particularly for non‐equilibrium situations such as invasions or climate change. In this paper we show how dynamic SDMs can be formulated and fitted to data within a Bayesian...
Influences of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the timing of the North American springNARA Subscribed
Detrended, modelled first leaf dates for 856 sites across North America for the period 1900–2008 are used to examine how the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) separately and together might influence the timing of spring. Although spring (mean March through April) ENSO and PDO signals are apparent in first leaf dates, the signals are not statistically significant (at a 95% confidence...
Hypoxia and anoxia in coastal waters have typically been explained by the respiration of sinking organic matter associated with nutrient over‐enrichment and phytoplankton blooms. Here, we assess whether submarine groundwater discharge and seawater recirculation in sediments can explain widespread chemical anomalies, including low dissolved oxygen, in salt wedge estuaries. We rely on high‐resolution radon (a natural groundwater...
We investigated the relationships of net ecosystem carbon exchange ( NEE ), soil temperature, and moisture with soil respiration rate and its components at a grassland ecosystem. Stable carbon isotopes were used to separate soil respiration into autotrophic and heterotrophic components within an eddy covariance footprint during the 2008 and 2009 growing seasons. After correction for self‐correlation, rates of soil respiration...
We develop an approach for estimating net ecosystem exchange ( NEE ) using inventory‐based information over North America ( NA ) for a recent 7‐year period (ca. 2000–2006). The approach notably retains information on the spatial distribution of NEE , or the vertical exchange between land and atmosphere of all non‐fossil fuel sources and sinks of CO 2 , while accounting for lateral transfers of forest and crop products as well...
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