R. Diamond results 42
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Climate change threatens biodiversity when species cannot tolerate, adapt to, or track shifting environmental conditions to stay within their climatic niches. A major unresolved question is whether and how species' genetic diversity modulates these dynamics, buffering against range contractions or facilitating range expansions. To test this, we integrated the largest global databases of species range shifts and genetic diversi...
The key mechanisms associated with the survival of Gulf toadfish, Opsanus beta , when in severe hypoxiaNARA Subscribed
Florida's shallow seagrass beds experience daily diurnal fluctuations in environmental oxygen, leading to hypoxic episodes (PO 2 −1 , ~6 kPa) that have increased in frequency and intensity in recent decades. The native Gulf toadfish ( Opsanus beta ) have been shown to employ a suite of adaptive cardiovascular, ventilatory and metabolic adjustments to survive moderate hypoxia, but little is known of the mechanisms used to survi...
Bringing traits back into the equation: A roadmap to understand species redistributionNARA Subscribed
Ecological and evolutionary theories have proposed that species traits should be important in mediating species responses to contemporary climate change; yet, empirical evidence has so far provided mixed evidence for the role of behavioral, life history, or ecological characteristics in facilitating or hindering species range shifts. As such, the utility of trait‐based approaches to predict species redistribution under climate...
Addressing chemical pollution in biodiversity researchNARA Subscribed
Climate change, biodiversity loss, and chemical pollution are planetary‐scale emergencies requiring urgent mitigation actions. As these “triple crises” are deeply interlinked, they need to be tackled in an integrative manner. However, while climate change and biodiversity are often studied together, chemical pollution as a global change factor contributing to worldwide biodiversity loss has received much less attention in biod...
Conservation of mobile organisms is difficult in the absence of detailed information about movement and habitat use. While the miniaturization of tracking devices has eased the collection of such information, it remains logistically and financially difficult to track a wide range of species across a large geographic scale. Predictive distribution models can be used to fill this gap by integrating both telemetry and census data...
Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic OceanNARA Subscribed
We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to Alle alle , Fratercula arctica , Uria aalge , Uria lomvia and Rissa tridactyla ) using tracking data for ~1500 individuals through resource selection functions based on mechanistic modeling of seabird energy requirements, and a dynamic bioclimate envelope model of seabird prey. Future winter distributions were predicted to shif...
The timing of recurring biological and seasonal environmental events is changing on a global scale relative to temperature and other climate drivers. This study considers the Gulf of Maine ecosystem, a region of high social and ecological importance in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean and synthesizes current knowledge of (a) key seasonal processes, patterns, and events; (b) direct evidence for shifts in timing; (c) implications of...
Unexpected phenological responses of butterflies to the interaction of urbanization and geographic temperatureNARA Subscribed
Urbanization and global climate change can profoundly alter biological systems, yet scientists often analyze their effects separately. We test how the timing of life cycle events (phenology) is jointly influenced by these two components of global change. To do so, we use a long‐term phenological data set of 20 common butterfly species from 83 sites across the state of Ohio, USA, with sites that range from rural undeveloped are...
An ex‐tropical cyclone climatology for Auckland, New ZealandNARA Subscribed
Auckland, New Zealand, is influenced by ex‐tropical cyclones ( ETCs ); however, there is no established climatology for these weather systems at present. In this study, we present a climatology of ETCs for Auckland and investigate whether their spatio‐temporal traits are influenced by large‐scale climate modes such as the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation ( ENSO ) and the Southern Annular Mode ( SAM ). We utilize the South Pacific...
Development of an enhanced tropical cyclone tracks database for the southwest Pacific from 1840 to 2010NARA Subscribed
The ecosystems and economies of small island nation states and territories of the tropical southwest Pacific region are widely agreed to be among the most vulnerable to climate variability and weather extremes anywhere in the world. Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are capable of exacerbating existing hazards and those made more severe by climate change (e.g. local sea level rise). In order to properly understand TC impacts in this reg...