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Climate change and invasive species both independently threaten marine biodiversity but can also interact. Invasive species often possess traits that not only promote their success in novel environments but may also confer resilience to climate‐driven ocean change, allowing them to respond favorably to a changing climate. Here, drawing on 67 studies across 30 non‐native species, we present moderate but consistent evidence that...
The “Last-mile Efforts” of Subseasonal Prediction and Services for Climate Resilience and Sustainability: Review and OutlookNARA Subscribed
Subseasonal predictions from 2 weeks to 2 months have made significant advancements over the past decade, driven by progress in physical understanding, climate modeling, computational capabilities, and artificial intelligence (AI). These predictions are increasingly in demand due to their potential to provide stakeholders with adequate lead time for effective disaster adaptation, mitigation, and resource management. However, t...
Shifting Trends in Aquaculture's Biological Potential to Address Food, Climate and Biodiversity ChallengesNARA Subscribed
Aquaculture has expanded and intensified significantly since the mid‐20th century, affecting its contributions to food security, climate change and biodiversity conservation (FCB) outcomes. In particular, shifts in the composition of farmed species affect the sector's potential impacts on sustainable development. Because these impacts are partly driven by the biological traits of the farmed species, tracking changes in trait c...
Prof Stephen P. Long, FRS (1950–2025)NARA Subscribed
Evaluation and Projection of Drought Frequency, Intensity and Duration Over AustraliaNARA Subscribed
Using two generations of regional climate simulations (NARCliM1.0 and NARCliM1.5) downscaled from CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models, three drought indices: the SPI (Standardised Precipitation Index), aSPI (agricultural SPI), and SPEI (Standardised Precipitation‐Evapotranspiration Index) are assessed for Australia. Biases in simulated drought frequency vary among models, while consistency is observed in duration and intensi...
Moving Beyond Temperature Metrics in Coral Bleaching Prediction Using Interpretable Machine LearningNARA Subscribed
Aim Marine heatwaves are the greatest threat to coral reefs, but the interplay between other physical environmental factors often influences the thermal sensitivity of corals. While existing coral bleaching algorithms largely depend on temperature‐related metrics, such relationships may not hold under climate change when corals experience thermal and environmental variability that may shape bleaching susceptibility. Our aim is...
Meteorological analysis of an extreme pyroconvective wildfire at Dunalley-Forcett, AustraliaNARA Subscribed
A major bushfire occurred during January 2013 near the towns Forcett and Dunalley in southeast Tasmania, Australia. Several records were broken by this wildfire, in terms of impacts to eco-systems, infrastructure and lives, and it was the first pyrocumulonimbus documented in Tasmania. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology high-resolution regional reanalysis for Tasmania (BARRA-TA), with 1.5-km spatial resolution, together with...
Marine fisheries are crucial to the economy, livelihood, food security and culture of coastal nations and communities, significantly contributing to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. A decade ago, T. J. Pitcher and W. W. L. Cheung highlighted the dichotomy in the perception of fisheries' status, concluding that long‐term sustainability and benefits to people were threatened by overexploitation, climate change,...
Aim We aimed to enhance our understanding of the distribution of mesopelagic mesozooplankton (MM) using species distribution models, assess the performance of various modelling techniques, identify key environmental predictors for MM distribution and compute their habitat suitability indices. Location Our study focused on the mesopelagic zone globally, with data analysed from different oceans. Taxon Our focus was primarily on...
Development of Asymmetric Convection in a Tropical Cyclone under Environmental Uniform Flow and Vertical Wind ShearNARA Subscribed
Idealized numerical simulations have been carried out to reveal the complexity in the development of asymmetric convection in a tropical cyclone (TC) under the influence of an environment with either uniform flow, vertical wind shear (VWS), or both. Results show that rainwater is enhanced to the right of the motion in the outer rainband, but such enhancement occurs in the upshear-left area of the inner-core region. Additionall...
Adaptation to climate change and limits in food production systems: Physics, the chemistry of biology, and human behaviorNARA Subscribed
Are there limits to our ability to adapt food systems to climate change? This overview paper for the special issue highlights results of research on potential limits and responses by food system actors. Responses are shaped by the critical interactions among the physical, chemical, biological, and social impacts in food systems arising from climate change. Food grains, temperate perennials, livestock, and oceanic capture fishe...